# David Dempsey: research papers

Professor at the University of Canterbury. I build physics-based and machine-learning models of the subsurface: geothermal and magmatic systems, induced seismicity, volcanic eruption forecasting, CO2 and hydrogen storage, and groundwater.

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2135-5129

Each paper below links to a summary page. That page has a Markdown version (`index.md`), a BibTeX record and, where the publisher permits, an open PDF and the full text. A machine-readable catalogue is at https://ddempsey.github.io/papers.json and an agent guide at https://ddempsey.github.io/llms.txt.

## 2027

- [Surrogate-Based probabilistic assessment of hydrogen leakage through abandoned wells in depleted gas reservoirs for underground hydrogen storage](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2027-chang-surrogate-probabilistic-assessment-hydrogen-leakage/): Chang Q, Dempsey D, Xu G et al., *Fuel*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fuel.2026.140374. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2027-chang-surrogate-probabilistic-assessment-hydrogen-leakage/chang2027-surrogate-probabilistic-assessment.pdf
## 2026

- [A Physics‐Based, Lumped‐Parameter Model for Attributing Natural and Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions From Producing Geothermal Systems](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-dempsey-physics-lumped-parameter-model-attributing/): Dempsey D, *Water Resources Research*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2026wr044239. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-dempsey-physics-lumped-parameter-model-attributing/dempsey2026-physics-lumped-parameter.pdf
- [Socio-economic value of data-driven eruption forecasts to balance false alarms against catastrophic loss](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-ardid-socio-economic-value-data-driven/): Ardid A, Dempsey D, McDonald G et al., *Nature Communications*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-77242-4. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-ardid-socio-economic-value-data-driven/ardid2026-socio-economic-value.pdf
- [A Machine‐Learning Classification for Torlesse Composite Terrane Petrofacies and its Application to Sediment Provenance](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-parker-machine-learning-classification-torlesse-composite/): Parker MO, Dempsey DE, Sagar MW et al., *New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/jgo2.70064. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-parker-machine-learning-classification-torlesse-composite/parker2026-machine-learning-classification.pdf
- [From forecast skill to economic value: sub-hourly wildfire potential forecasting across Australian regions](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-ardid-forecast-skill-economic-value-sub/): Ardid A, Power A, Valencia A et al., *International Journal of Wildland Fire*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1071/wf25221. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-ardid-forecast-skill-economic-value-sub/ardid2026-forecast-skill-economic.pdf
- [Impacts of reservoir permeability anisotropy on hydrogen migration and recovery efficiency in geological storage](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-liu-impacts-reservoir-permeability-anisotropy-hydrogen/): Liu J, Dempsey D, Nicol A et al., *Fuel*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fuel.2025.137596. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-liu-impacts-reservoir-permeability-anisotropy-hydrogen/liu2026-impacts-reservoir-permeability.pdf
- [Effects of reservoir interlayers on hydrogen migration and distribution in underground hydrogen storage](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-liu-effects-reservoir-interlayers-hydrogen-migration/): Liu J, Dempsey D, Nicol A et al., *International Journal of Hydrogen Energy*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2026.153704. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-liu-effects-reservoir-interlayers-hydrogen-migration/liu2026-effects-reservoir-interlayers.pdf
- [Determination of interfacial tension for H2-H2S-water and CH4-H2S-water mixtures under different geological conditions for underground hydrogen storage](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-chang-determination-interfacial-tension-h2s-water/): Chang Q, Dempsey D, Huang L, *Journal of Energy Storage*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2025.119683. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-chang-determination-interfacial-tension-h2s-water/chang2026-determination-interfacial-tension.pdf
## 2025

- [Preferential seawater intrusion in a heterogeneous alluvial aquifer that extends offshore: Insights from numerical modeling](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-cleary-preferential-seawater-intrusion-heterogeneous-alluvial/): Cleary CA, Sarris TS, Morgan LK et al., *Journal of Hydrology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133455. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-cleary-preferential-seawater-intrusion-heterogeneous-alluvial/cleary2025-preferential-seawater-intrusion.pdf
- [Advanced Hydrogeochemical Coupling in Carbon Sequestration: A 4D Spatiotemporal Fourier Neural Operator–Driven Modeling Framework](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-rui-advanced-hydrogeochemical-coupling-carbon-sequestration/): Rui Z, Zhou K, Hu T et al., *SPE Journal*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2118/228397-pa
- [The Research and Impact of the Works by Don Nield](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-becker-research-impact-works-don-nield/): Becker S, Dempsey D, Zhao D, *Transport in Porous Media*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11242-025-02199-9. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-becker-research-impact-works-don-nield/becker2025-research-impact-works.pdf
- [Quantifying Interannual Variations in Groundwater Fluxes Within a Braidplain Aquifer Using Active‐Distributed Temperature Sensing](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-sai-louie-quantifying-interannual-variations-groundwater-fluxes/): Sai Louie AJ, Morgan LK, Dempsey D et al., *Water Resources Research*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024wr039328. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-sai-louie-quantifying-interannual-variations-groundwater-fluxes/sai-louie2025-louie-quantifying-interannual.pdf
- [Impact of operational parameters on water invasion in underground hydrogen storage: A numerical investigation of the Ahuroa field, New Zealand](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-liu-impact-operational-parameters-water-invasion/): Liu J, Dempsey D, Nicol A et al., *International Journal of Hydrogen Energy*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2025.150236. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-liu-impact-operational-parameters-water-invasion/liu2025-impact-operational-parameters.pdf
- [Forecasting Eruptions at Steamboat Geyser: Time Scales, Differentiability, and Detectability of Seismic Precursors Through Data‐Driven Methods](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-ardid-forecasting-eruptions-steamboat-geyser-time/): Ardid A, Barth A, Dempsey D et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024jh000569. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-ardid-forecasting-eruptions-steamboat-geyser-time/ardid2025-forecasting-eruptions-steamboat.pdf
- [Ergodic seismic precursors and transfer learning for short term eruption forecasting at data scarce volcanoes](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-ardid-ergodic-seismic-precursors-transfer-learning/): Ardid A, Dempsey D, Caudron C et al., *Nature Communications*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56689-x. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-ardid-ergodic-seismic-precursors-transfer-learning/ardid2025-ergodic-seismic-precursors.pdf
- [Sub-hourly forecasting of fire potential using machine learning on time series of surface weather variables](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-ardid-sub-hourly-forecasting-fire-potential/): Ardid A, Valencia A, Power A et al., *International Journal of Wildland Fire*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1071/wf24113. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-ardid-sub-hourly-forecasting-fire-potential/ardid2025-sub-hourly-forecasting.pdf
- [Techno-economic analysis of geothermal combined with direct and biomass-based carbon dioxide removal for high-temperature hydrothermal systems](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-titus-techno-economic-analysis-geothermal-combined/): Titus KA, Dempsey D, Peer RAM et al., *Geothermics*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geothermics.2024.103159. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2025-titus-techno-economic-analysis-geothermal-combined/titus2025-techno-economic-analysis.pdf
## 2024

- [Influence of hydrogen sulfide on gas-water interface in underground hydrogen storage: A molecular dynamics study](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-chang-influence-hydrogen-sulfide-gas-water/): Chang Q, Huang L, McKenzie K et al., *Journal of Energy Storage*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2024.112766. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-chang-influence-hydrogen-sulfide-gas-water/chang2024-influence-hydrogen-sulfide.pdf
- [Earthquakes Trigger Rapid Flash Boiling Front at Optimal Geologic Conditions](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-sanchez-alfaro-earthquakes-trigger-rapid-flash-boiling/): Sanchez‐Alfaro P, Wallis I, Iturrieta P et al., *Geophysical Research Letters*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl108109. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-sanchez-alfaro-earthquakes-trigger-rapid-flash-boiling/sanchez‐alfaro2024-alfaro-earthquakes-trigger.pdf
- [From carbon neutral to carbon negative: a theoretical bioenergy and CO2 removal retrofit at Ngāwhā geothermal power station](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-titus-carbon-neutral-carbon-negative-theoretical/): Titus K, Dempsey D, Peer R et al., *Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03036758.2024.2385807. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-titus-carbon-neutral-carbon-negative-theoretical/titus2024-carbon-neutral-carbon.pdf
- [Multitimescale Template Matching: Discovering Eruption Precursors across Diverse Volcanic Settings](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-ardid-multitimescale-template-matching-discovering-eruption/): Ardid A, Dempsey D, Corry J et al., *Seismological Research Letters*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240012. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-ardid-multitimescale-template-matching-discovering-eruption/ardid2024-multitimescale-template-matching.pdf
- [Prospectivity analysis for underground hydrogen storage, Taranaki basin, Aotearoa New Zealand: A multi-criteria decision-making approach](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-higgs-prospectivity-analysis-underground-hydrogen-storage/): Higgs KE, Strogen DP, Nicol A et al., *International Journal of Hydrogen Energy*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2024.05.098. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-higgs-prospectivity-analysis-underground-hydrogen-storage/higgs2024-prospectivity-analysis-underground.pdf
- [Eruption Forecasting Model for Copahue Volcano (Southern Andes) Using Seismic Data and Machine Learning: A Joint Interpretation with Geodetic Data (GNSS and InSAR)](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-cabrera-eruption-forecasting-model-copahue-volcano/): Cabrera L, Ardid A, Melchor I et al., *Seismological Research Letters*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240022. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-cabrera-eruption-forecasting-model-copahue-volcano/cabrera2024-eruption-forecasting-model.pdf
- [Testing the reproducibility of active-distributed temperature sensing for measuring groundwater specific discharge beneath a braided river](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-sai-louie-testing-reproducibility-active-distributed-temperature/): Sai Louie AJ, Morgan LK, Banks EW et al., *Journal of Hydrology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130877. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-sai-louie-testing-reproducibility-active-distributed-temperature/sai-louie2024-louie-testing-reproducibility.pdf
- [Molecular dynamics insights into gas-water interfacial tension: Optimizing hydrogen storage in subsurface conditions](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-chang-molecular-dynamics-insights-gas-water/): Chang Q, Dempsey D, Zhang L et al., *International Journal of Hydrogen Energy*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2024.03.341. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2024-chang-molecular-dynamics-insights-gas-water/chang2024-molecular-dynamics-insights.pdf
## 2023

- [Active-distributed temperature sensing dataset beneath a braided river](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-sai-louie-active-distributed-temperature-sensing-dataset/): Sai Louie AJ, Morgan LK, Banks EW et al., *Data in Brief*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2023.109756
- [Shallow groundwater characterisation and hydrograph classification in the coastal city of Ōtautahi/Christchurch, New Zealand](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-bosserelle-shallow-groundwater-characterisation-hydrograph-classification/): Bosserelle AL, Morgan LK, Dempsey DE et al., *Hydrogeology Journal*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-023-02745-z. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-bosserelle-shallow-groundwater-characterisation-hydrograph-classification/bosserelle2023-shallow-groundwater-characterisation.pdf
- [Using Template Matching to Detect Hidden Fluid Release Episodes Beneath Crater Lakes in Ruapehu, Copahue, and Kawah Ijen Volcanoes](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-ardid-template-matching-detect-hidden-fluid/): Ardid A, Dempsey D, Caudron C et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023jb026729. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-ardid-template-matching-detect-hidden-fluid/ardid2023-template-matching-detect.pdf
- [Association Between Injection and Microseismicity in Geothermal Fields With Multiple Wells: Data‐Driven Modeling of Rotokawa, New Zealand, and Húsmúli, Iceland](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-yu-association-injection-microseismicity-geothermal-fields/): Yu P, Dempsey D, Rinaldi AP et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jb025952. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-yu-association-injection-microseismicity-geothermal-fields/yu2023-association-injection-microseismicity.pdf
- [Identification of Seismo‐Volcanic Regimes at Whakaari/White Island (New Zealand) Via Systematic Tuning of an Unsupervised Classifier](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-steinke-identification-seismo-volcanic-regimes-whakaari/): Steinke B, Jolly AD, Carniel R et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jb026221. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-steinke-identification-seismo-volcanic-regimes-whakaari/steinke2023-identification-seismo-volcanic.pdf
- [Physics-Based Forecasting of Induced Seismicity at Groningen Gas Field, The Netherlands: Post Hoc Evaluation and Forecast Update](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-dempsey-physics-forecasting-induced-seismicity-groningen/): Dempsey DE, Suckale J, *Seismological Research Letters*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220220317. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-dempsey-physics-forecasting-induced-seismicity-groningen/dempsey2023-physics-forecasting-induced.pdf
- [Carbon negative geothermal: Theoretical efficiency and sequestration potential of geothermal-BECCS energy cycles](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-titus-carbon-negative-geothermal-theoretical-efficiency/): Titus KA, Dempsey DE, Peer RAM, *International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2022.103813. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2023-titus-carbon-negative-geothermal-theoretical-efficiency/titus2023-carbon-negative-geothermal.pdf
## 2022

- [Active distributed temperature sensing to assess surface water–groundwater interaction and river loss in braided river systems](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-banks-active-distributed-temperature-sensing-assess/): Banks EW, Morgan LK, Sai Louie AJ et al., *Journal of Hydrology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128667. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-banks-active-distributed-temperature-sensing-assess/banks2022-active-distributed-temperature.pdf
- [Evaluation of short-term probabilistic eruption forecasting at Whakaari, New Zealand](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-dempsey-evaluation-short-term-probabilistic-eruption/): Dempsey DE, Kempa-Liehr AW, Ardid A et al., *Bulletin of Volcanology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-022-01600-5. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-dempsey-evaluation-short-term-probabilistic-eruption/dempsey2022-evaluation-short-term.pdf
- [Seismic precursors to the Whakaari 2019 phreatic eruption are transferable to other eruptions and volcanoes](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-ardid-seismic-precursors-whakaari-2019-phreatic/): Ardid A, Dempsey D, Caudron C et al., *Nature Communications*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-29681-y. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-ardid-seismic-precursors-whakaari-2019-phreatic/ardid2022-seismic-precursors-whakaari.pdf
- [Techno-Economic feasibility of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) with partially bridging Multi-Stage fractures for district heating applications](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-yu-techno-economic-feasibility-enhanced-geothermal/): Yu P, Dempsey D, Archer R, *Energy Conversion and Management*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2022.115405. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2022-yu-techno-economic-feasibility-enhanced-geothermal/yu2022-techno-economic-feasibility.pdf
## 2021

- [Hydrothermal Cooling as a Requirement for Short Storage of Silicic Magmas](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-kelly-hydrothermal-cooling-requirement-short-storage/): Kelly LJ, Gualda GAR, Gravley DM et al., *Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021gc009794. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-kelly-hydrothermal-cooling-requirement-short-storage/kelly2021-hydrothermal-cooling-requirement.pdf
- [A three-dimensional coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical numerical model with partially bridging multi-stage contact fractures in horizontal-well enhanced geothermal system](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-yu-three-dimensional-coupled-thermo-hydro/): Yu P, Dempsey D, Archer R, *International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrmms.2021.104787. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-yu-three-dimensional-coupled-thermo-hydro/yu2021-three-dimensional-coupled.pdf
- [Heat Transfer Through the Wairakei‐Tauhara Geothermal System Quantified by Multi‐Channel Data Modeling](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-ardid-heat-transfer-wairakei-tauhara-geothermal/): Ardid A, Archer R, Bertrand E et al., *Geophysical Research Letters*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl092056. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-ardid-heat-transfer-wairakei-tauhara-geothermal/ardid2021-heat-transfer-wairakei.pdf
- [Bayesian magnetotelluric inversion using methylene blue structural priors for imaging shallow conductors in geothermal fields](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-ardid-bayesian-magnetotelluric-inversion-methylene-blue/): Ardid A, Dempsey D, Bertrand E et al., *Geophysics*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1190/geo2020-0226.1. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-ardid-bayesian-magnetotelluric-inversion-methylene-blue/ardid2021-bayesian-magnetotelluric-inversion.pdf
- [Two-dimensional numerical modelling of strategies to avoid thermal stress induced flow channeling in fractured geothermal reservoirs](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-rongved-two-dimensional-numerical-modelling-strategies/): Rongved M, Bauer A, Dempsey D et al., *Geothermics*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geothermics.2020.101978. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2021-rongved-two-dimensional-numerical-modelling-strategies/rongved2021-two-dimensional-numerical.pdf
## 2020

- [Ground motion simulation of hypothetical earthquakes in the upper North Island of New Zealand](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2020-dempsey-ground-motion-simulation-hypothetical-earthquakes/): Dempsey D, Eccles JD, Huang J et al., *New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00288306.2020.1842469. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2020-dempsey-ground-motion-simulation-hypothetical-earthquakes/dempsey2020-ground-motion-simulation.pdf
- [Automatic precursor recognition and real-time forecasting of sudden explosive volcanic eruptions at Whakaari, New Zealand](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2020-dempsey-automatic-precursor-recognition-real-time/): Dempsey DE, Cronin SJ, Mei S et al., *Nature Communications*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17375-2. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2020-dempsey-automatic-precursor-recognition-real-time/dempsey2020-automatic-precursor-recognition.pdf
## 2019

- [Response of Induced Seismicity to Injection Rate Reduction: Models of Delay, Decay, Quiescence, Recovery, and Oklahoma](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2019-dempsey-response-induced-seismicity-injection-rate/): Dempsey D, Riffault J, *Water Resources Research*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018wr023587. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2019-dempsey-response-induced-seismicity-injection-rate/dempsey2019-response-induced-seismicity.pdf
## 2018

- [Microseismicity Cloud Can Be Substantially Larger Than the Associated Stimulated Fracture Volume: The Case of the Paralana Enhanced Geothermal System](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2018-riffault-microseismicity-cloud-can-substantially-larger/): Riffault J, Dempsey D, Karra S et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2017jb015299. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2018-riffault-microseismicity-cloud-can-substantially-larger/riffault2018-microseismicity-cloud-can.pdf
## 2017

- [Physics‐based forecasting of induced seismicity at Groningen gas field, the Netherlands](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2017-dempsey-physics-forecasting-induced-seismicity-groningen/): Dempsey D, Suckale J, *Geophysical Research Letters*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017gl073878. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2017-dempsey-physics-forecasting-induced-seismicity-groningen/dempsey2017-physics-forecasting-induced.pdf
## 2016

- [Collective properties of injection‐induced earthquake sequences: 2. Spatiotemporal evolution and magnitude frequency distributions](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2016-dempsey-collective-properties-injection-induced-earthquake-sequences/): Dempsey D, Suckale J, Huang Y, *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jb012551. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2016-dempsey-collective-properties-injection-induced-earthquake-sequences/dempsey2016-collective-properties-injection.pdf
- [Collective properties of injection‐induced earthquake sequences: 1. Model description and directivity bias](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2016-dempsey-collective-properties-injection-induced-earthquake/): Dempsey D, Suckale J, *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jb012550. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2016-dempsey-collective-properties-injection-induced-earthquake/dempsey2016-collective-properties-injection.pdf
## 2015

- [Simulation of the crystal growth of platelet sea ice with diffusive heat and mass transfer](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-wongpan-simulation-crystal-growth-platelet-sea/): Wongpan P, Langhorne PJ, Dempsey DE et al., *Annals of Glaciology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3189/2015aog69a777. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-wongpan-simulation-crystal-growth-platelet-sea/wongpan2015-simulation-crystal-growth.pdf
- [Hydraulic fracturing fluid migration in the subsurface: A review and expanded modeling results](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-birdsell-hydraulic-fracturing-fluid-migration-subsurface/): Birdsell DT, Rajaram H, Dempsey D et al., *Water Resources Research*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015wr017810. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-birdsell-hydraulic-fracturing-fluid-migration-subsurface/birdsell2015-hydraulic-fracturing-fluid.pdf
- [Numerical modeling of injection, stress and permeability enhancement during shear stimulation at the Desert Peak Enhanced Geothermal System](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-dempsey-numerical-modeling-injection-stress-permeability/): Dempsey D, Kelkar S, Davatzes N et al., *International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrmms.2015.06.003. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-dempsey-numerical-modeling-injection-stress-permeability/dempsey2015-numerical-modeling-injection.pdf
- [Reducing uncertainty associated with CO2 injection and brine production in heterogeneous formations](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-dempsey-reducing-uncertainty-associated-co2-injection/): Dempsey D, O’Malley D, Pawar R, *International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2015.03.004. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2015-dempsey-reducing-uncertainty-associated-co2-injection/dempsey2015-reducing-uncertainty-associated.pdf
## 2014

- [Passive injection: A strategy for mitigating reservoir pressurization, induced seismicity and brine migration in geologic CO2 storage](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2014-dempsey-passive-injection-strategy-mitigating-reservoir/): Dempsey D, Kelkar S, Pawar R, *International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2014.06.002. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2014-dempsey-passive-injection-strategy-mitigating-reservoir/dempsey2014-passive-injection-strategy.pdf
- [Insights into interconnections between the shallow and deep systems from a natural CO2 reservoir near Springerville, Arizona](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2014-keating-insights-interconnections-shallow-deep-systems/): Keating E, Newell D, Dempsey D et al., *International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2014.03.009. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2014-keating-insights-interconnections-shallow-deep-systems/keating2014-insights-interconnections-shallow.pdf
- [Modeling caprock bending stresses and their potential for induced seismicity during CO2 injection](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2014-dempsey-modeling-caprock-bending-stresses-their/): Dempsey D, Kelkar S, Pawar R et al., *International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijggc.2014.01.005. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2014-dempsey-modeling-caprock-bending-stresses-their/dempsey2014-modeling-caprock-bending.pdf
## 2013

- [Hydrological effects of dip‐slip fault rupture on a hydrothermal plume](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2013-dempsey-hydrological-effects-dip-slip-fault/): Dempsey DE, Archer RA, Ellis SM et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012jb009395. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2013-dempsey-hydrological-effects-dip-slip-fault/dempsey2013-hydrological-effects-dip.pdf
## 2012

- [Delineation of catchment zones of geothermal systems in large‐scale rifted settings](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-delineation-catchment-zones-geothermal-systems/): Dempsey DE, Simmons SF, Archer RA et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012jb009515. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-delineation-catchment-zones-geothermal-systems/dempsey2012-delineation-catchment-zones.pdf
- [Geometric properties of platelet ice crystals](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-geometric-properties-platelet-ice-crystals/): Dempsey DE, Langhorne PJ, *Cold Regions Science and Technology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2012.03.002. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-geometric-properties-platelet-ice-crystals/dempsey2012-geometric-properties-platelet.pdf
- [The role of frictional plasticity in the evolution of normal fault systems](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-role-frictional-plasticity-evolution-normal/): Dempsey DE, Ellis SM, Rowland JV et al., *Journal of Structural Geology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsg.2012.03.001. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-role-frictional-plasticity-evolution-normal/dempsey2012-role-frictional-plasticity.pdf
- [Modeling the effects of silica deposition and fault rupture on natural geothermal systems](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-modeling-effects-silica-deposition-fault/): Dempsey DE, Rowland JV, Zyvoloski GA et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012jb009218. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-modeling-effects-silica-deposition-fault/dempsey2012-modeling-effects-silica.pdf
- [Energetics of normal earthquakes on dip-slip faults](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-energetics-normal-earthquakes-dip-slip/): Dempsey D, Ellis S, Archer R et al., *Geology*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1130/g32643.1. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2012-dempsey-energetics-normal-earthquakes-dip-slip/dempsey2012-energetics-normal-earthquakes.pdf
## 2011

- [Evolution of supercooling under coastal Antarctic sea ice during winter](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2011-leonard-evolution-supercooling-coastal-antarctic-sea/): Leonard GH, Langhorne PJ, Williams MJM et al., *Antarctic Science*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/s0954102011000265
## 2010

- [Observation and modeling of platelet ice fabric in McMurdo Sound, Antarctica](https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2010-dempsey-observation-modeling-platelet-ice-fabric/): Dempsey DE, Langhorne PJ, Robinson NJ et al., *Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans*. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008jc005264. Open PDF: https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2010-dempsey-observation-modeling-platelet-ice-fabric/dempsey2010-observation-modeling-platelet.pdf