@article{ardid2026socio,
  title = {Socio-economic value of data-driven eruption forecasts to balance false alarms against catastrophic loss},
  author = {Ardid, Alberto and Dempsey, David and McDonald, Garry and Cronin, Shane},
  journal = {Nature Communications},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {17},
  number = {1},
  pages = {9356},
  publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
  doi = {10.1038/s41467-026-77242-4},
  url = {https://ddempsey.github.io/papers/2026-ardid-socio-economic-value-data-driven/}
}